2021.09.25 05:13 iPaxyz TONIGHTS DOSE 650MG DPH, 4.5G VITAMIN C. PREPARED TO VOMIT OUT MY STOMACH LINING
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2021.09.25 05:13 jmatos87 Tokyo Ghoul - At Night | Andrew Applepie [AMV] [VHS] [Horror]
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2021.09.25 05:13 blueest [D] How are the "costs and benefits" calculated for statistical simulations in the real world?
I am interested in looking at something like this:
Suppose there is an insurance company. The inaurance company processes insurance claims. Let's say there are 100 people working at the insurance company: everyday, new claims arrive and existing claims are settled - but there is always a backlog.
In terms of strategies, the insurance company is considering hiring new employees: they are thinking of 5 new employees (strategy 1: costs $ 200,000), 10 new employees (strategy 2 : costs $ 500,000) or 15 new employees (strategy 3: costs $ 700,000).
The logic being, perhaps more employees could result in: fewer backlog through out the year, faster processing time of claims or smaller payouts to the claim filers (e.g. lets assume that each claim has to be processed in under 30 days, if a claim is approaching 30 days - the insurance company tries to negotiate and pay 50% of the amount owed instead of the whole amount).
In terms of the "transitions", different options can be considered:
A) The amount of backlog in the system (e.g. state A = less than 100 claims, state B = 101 to 200 claims, state C = more than 300 claims). Using existing data, transition matrix can be made to construct this transition matrix (3 × 3).
B) The average number of days spent on a claim (e.g. state A = less than 10 days , state B = 11 days to 25 days, state C = more than 25 claims). Using existing data, transition matrix can be made to construct this transition matrix (3 × 3)
C) The average percentage of the full amount saved on a case (e.g. state A = insurance company pays on average pays less than 50% of cases on average , state B = pays between 51% and 75% , state C = pays more than 75%). Using existing data, transition matrix can be made to construct this transition matrix (3 × 3).
My question is: I understand how to run a simulation that shows on any given day, which state the transition matrix (i.e. markov chain) will be in.
Question 1: But how can you calculate the cost and benefit (utility) of being in state A, state B and State C? I thought of adding integer scores to each state (e.g. state A = +3, state B = +2, state C = +1). Assuming that its always more advantageous to be in state, you run the simulation for 100 days and add the score on each day. A score 201 could mean that the system was on the whole "healthier" than the system with a score of 167. Is there another way of doing this?
Question 2: I know the cost of each strategy. But how do you attribute a benefit to each strategy? The best I can think about is trying to look at the historical data available and try to look at the system statistics when more people were hired vs less people.
Can someone please provide some advice on this? In general, am I understand the use of cost-benefit simulation correctly? Could this simulation serve as a legitimate method to decide which strategy to select?
submitted by blueest to statistics [link] [comments]
2021.09.25 05:13 Malibucat48 This is Hawk, my red tailed boy.
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2021.09.25 05:13 bigHam100 Fun things to do this Saturday?
2021.09.25 05:13 TimTamSlama Sunrise from Chapakharka, Kavrepalanchowk.
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2021.09.25 05:13 Gawkhimm [F] an idea for a short story; an assault upon the black legion within warp-space by displaced Imperial forces, a few Saints and the legion of the damned
It would be battle-horror story, as Imperial miracles are weaponized against the black legion "sometime" during the indomitus crusade / Psychic Awakening...
You follow the POV a lower ranked chaos space marine, a renegade fighting for the black legion, engaged in a holding action across eye-space, from an assault of loyalist space marines from across time, trapped in the warp and moved to this battlefield by "the light of the emperor" they are sacrificing their lives under the guidance of Imperial saints that can appear and heal their wounds and armor and at the end the legion of the damned arrives and the last part of the story is the renegade space marine begging for forgiveness and a saint makes him part of the legion of the damned...
submitted by Gawkhimm to 40kLore [link] [comments]
2021.09.25 05:13 chanka90 My 10 gal community tank. Thoughts?
2021.09.25 05:13 randominternetstuffs When someone tries telling me republicans are pro second amendment…
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2021.09.25 05:13 wubbadefe How are people with social anxiety having sex?
I understand that everyone experiences SA differently, but I personally can not fathom how people do it. I’m 21 and never even dated anyone. I’ve cancelled so many dates because I was literally home throwing up when the day would come. How are people with SA having sex???? Genuinely can not wrap my head around that. Is what I’m experiencing common or are my symptoms just extreme? Something so natural, yet it blows my mind that people are able to do it regularly with no anxiety.
submitted by wubbadefe to socialanxiety [link] [comments]
2021.09.25 05:13 tulrajam Suggestions for Wedding wear
Hi. Idk if this will get approved but it's worth a shot.
I have to attend wedding function of a close relative of my family even though I don't want to. So, I just don't have the energy or motivation to do shopping. My family is close to them so I do have to look good.
Please suggest me some good stuff to wear on the day if Baarat, reception and a casual meet up of families.
I am a 5'6'' guy with 90kgs on me with a round belly and not really a build physique. Basically an average medium height fat guy.
submitted by tulrajam to IndiaSpeaks [link] [comments]
2021.09.25 05:13 ElectrikAvenue1 😎Baby Doge Boss💼 fair-launched today & performing a Takeover of the Crypto Defi and NFT's Market! Baby Doge Boss is the smartest Doge in the world! Using his sharp eye for talent he has recruited an awesome marketing team, and we are soon to be the #1 Community Coin. Join the Takeover! Join Us!
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submitted by ElectrikAvenue1 to CryptoMars [link] [comments]
2021.09.25 05:13 Doho86 When does POCv11 go live?
2021.09.25 05:13 chrismalak Teacher Memes
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2021.09.25 05:13 GSKOF-WEEBO How is it? Tips/Critiques appreciated
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2021.09.25 05:13 AnjunaForever Dance 2 Trance - Power Of American Natives (Jam & Spoon Remix) (1993)
2021.09.25 05:13 WrestlingWoman No means no, and he wants to be my bride
2021.09.25 05:13 yashvarahney NFT-Drop : The Cosmic God "Shiva"
2021.09.25 05:13 Matlabguru Data Science in Python
2021.09.25 05:13 Growflame 27 days from sprouting. Looks like a good yeild.
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2021.09.25 05:13 ecomihomie this is fye
blinky ill next up!
submitted by ecomihomie to EDM [link] [comments]
2021.09.25 05:13 Abstractvo13 Looking for Router Advice
I am running into an issue with bandwidth at home, and am looking to see if there are any recommendations for routers that may help me. I am currently running a Minecraft server through ethernet on my Cox Gigablast internet, but it seems that some of my family members are starting to have issues with the wifi ever since. I am somewhat surprised considering that traffic on the server is extraordinarily low, and I personally do not experience any issues on my personal computer (separate from the server computer). While my computer and my server are both connected via ethernet, which I know to be the best way to connect them, they are the only two devices connected by such a way in the house. I would love to just tell my family members that their issues would be fixed with a wired connection, but you can't make a horse drink just because you took it to water.
TLDR, my question is this; are there any recommended routers besides the stock Netgear R6300v2 that I got form my ISP that I may purchase to help speed up the wifi for my family? I would love to just have everyone on ethernet cables, but I can't force my family to set up ethernet cables if they are reluctant to. I would rather not shut down a server that I spent the better part of the last month setting up for just because of wifi issues that may not even be related to the server itself. Thanks for any help that you may be able to offer!
submitted by Abstractvo13 to HomeNetworking [link] [comments]
2021.09.25 05:13 blodymaire 🐕 SERVICE DOGE PRESALE \ Token With A Cause for Disabilities \ Launching 09.28 🐕
$SDOGE is a (BEP-20) token with an honest mission to provide emotional and therapeutic benefit to those in need.
📣📣 No ‘BUY-BACK’ Function; they never really work. No ‘REWARDS IN BNB’ bullshit. SIMPLE AND EFFECTIVE TOKENOMICS AS IT SHOULD BE.
❗❗ NO WHITELISTING to give everybody a fair play
Please join our journey.
🌐 Website: https://servicedoge.org/
🐕4% charity (automatic convert into BNB)
We'll have details on presale shortly, so just follow us on Telegram for the most up-to-date information on $SDOGE
✔️ Shilling Contests, Giveaways, Whitelist spots
✔️ Marketing with Poocoin, Reddit Posts and Twitter Giveaways
✔️ Cameo Appearances
✔️ Coin Market Cap, CoinGecko, and Blockfolio
✔️ Partnership with Paws With A Cause
✔️ Merchandise store
✔️ Anti-Bot Mechanics
✔️ Safe and Verified Contract
✔️ Liquidity will be locked after launch on DXSale for 12months
submitted by blodymaire to cryptostreetbets [link] [comments]
2021.09.25 05:13 soxz420 my eyes lol
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2021.09.25 05:13 insurmountablegrief do some scabbing mean the rest will follow?
I have had this for maybe 6 months. at first shaved over what I thought were razor bumps but alas. got one curettage treatment (I think) then got a million more bumps. prob at 40-50 now. but now I think theres one big one on my shoulder. and several around my fucking nose and spreading on my face. a few ~down there~ recently started scabbing. what does that mean? should that mean the rest will soon, too? and would that include recently developed ones on my face (<1-2 months old)? ALSO what the fuck are they supposed to look like when a treatment is working? like some turn darker red - is that a good sign, and then they just scab?? fyi in the past used tretinoin (prescribed for my acne), Molleave, and now trying a tea tree oil from etsy.
submitted by insurmountablegrief to molluscum [link] [comments]